NFL Week 14 Preview: Bills vs Patriots, Rivers Returns, Lions' Playoff Hopes (2026)

NFL playoff race: The battle for the AFC East and the hunt for the No. 1 seed

The NFL season is heating up, and the playoff race is intensifying. This week's top-shelf matchup features the Buffalo Bills (9-4) and the New England Patriots (11-2) in a game that could have significant implications for the AFC East and the No. 1 seed.

The Bills vs. Patriots: A classic in the making

The Bills and Patriots are two of the most historic franchises in the NFL, and their rivalry is always a must-watch. This game will feature two MVP candidates: Drake Maye for the Patriots and Josh Allen for the Bills. The outcome will depend on who can take care of the football and exploit their opponent's weaknesses.

What the Bills need to do to win:

  • Take care of the football: The Bills need to minimize turnovers, especially in the red zone. In Week 5, they gifted the Patriots a win with three costly turnovers. Allen and the offense must be more precise to increase their chances of scoring.
  • Exploit New England's weaknesses: The Patriots' opponents score a touchdown on 73.1% of red-zone trips, the highest rate in the NFL. If Allen can make drives last and exploit this weakness, the Bills can gain a significant advantage.

What the Patriots need to do to win:

  • Contain Buffalo's running game: The Patriots need to slow down James Cook, who had a low total of 49 yards on 15 carries when the teams met earlier this season. This will put more pressure on Allen to produce against their solid pass defense.
  • Focus on their pass defense: The Patriots have played pass defense on 60.8% of their plays, the fifth-most in the NFL. They will be confident in handling Buffalo's weak receiving crew if they can slow down Cook and force the Bills to rely on their passing game.

Rising: Indianapolis Colts

The Colts are in a tough spot after losing starting quarterback Daniel Jones for the season. However, they have a unique solution: 44-year-old Philip Rivers, who has been brought back from retirement. While Rivers' chances of success are slim, the Colts could use a feel-good story to lift their spirits.

Falling: Detroit Lions

The Lions have a habit of following up victories with defeats, and their playoff hopes are on thin ice. A loss to the Rams, who destroyed Arizona last week, would put the Lions in a difficult position. However, a glimmer of hope remains in their Week 18 meeting with the Bears.

Race for the No. 1 pick

The New York Giants, Las Vegas Raiders, and Tennessee Titans are leading the race for the top pick in next year's draft. The form book suggests a battle between the Giants and Raiders, but this race is far from logical. Wild, random wins from teams on life support could shake things up.

If the season ended today...

AFC: 1) Denver; 2) New England; 3) Jacksonville; 4) Pittsburgh; 5) LA Chargers; 6) Buffalo; 7) Houston. Bubble: Indianapolis

NFC: 1) LA Rams; 2) Green Bay; 3) Philadelphia; 4) Carolina; 5) Seattle; 6) San Francisco; 7) Chicago. Bubble: Detroit

NFL Week 14 Preview: Bills vs Patriots, Rivers Returns, Lions' Playoff Hopes (2026)
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